Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 15/07, 05:00
Prediction: Soma Fukuhara vs Taiyo Uenoyama
Prediction summary
Winner
Soma Fukuhara
Taiyo Uenoyama
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Soma Fukuhara
4-6 (W-L)
Taiyo Uenoyama
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soma Fukuhara 1474 · Taiyo Uenoyama 1531
| Soma Fukuhara | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taiyo Uenoyama (rating 1474 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Soma Fukuhara | Taiyo Uenoyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.2 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 60.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soma Fukuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Alan Magadan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Masato Tanaka UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Taiyo Uenoyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/01 | Ryusuke Horiuchi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Yuta Tomida UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Graham Maassen UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/01 | Oleg Kolninov UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/01 | Noritaka Koizumi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/01 | Daiki Yoshimura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/01 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/01 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soma Fukuhara vs Taiyo Uenoyama?
Our model gives 61% to Taiyo Uenoyama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.