Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 15/07, 03:30
Prediction: Taiyo Kurata vs Toshiki Karigyo
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Kurata
Toshiki Karigyo
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Kurata
5-5 (W-L)
Toshiki Karigyo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Kurata 1528 · Toshiki Karigyo 1559
| Taiyo Kurata | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Taiyo Kurata | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.1 | 11.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Kurata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/12 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/12 | Ammar Elamin UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/12 | Sergey Petrov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 15/12 | Pol Amoros Ramos UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | John Chin UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Lukas Velik UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Yua Taka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Kurata vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Our model gives 55% to Toshiki Karigyo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.