Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Bernardo Munk Mesa
4-6 (W-L)
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1498 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1546
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1498 vs 1546).
- Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Bernardo Munk Mesa | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.1 | 11.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Mikel Martinez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Emile Hudd M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Hugo Hashimoto UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/02 | Timofey Stepanov UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/02 | Jordan Chiu UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Aditya Vashistha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/02 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 21/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Our model gives 58% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.