Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 20:00
Prediction: Iliyan Radulov vs Ilya Ivashka
Prediction summary
Winner
Iliyan Radulov
Ilya Ivashka
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Iliyan Radulov
4-6 (W-L)
Ilya Ivashka
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iliyan Radulov 1515 · Ilya Ivashka 1559
| Iliyan Radulov | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilya Ivashka (rating 1515 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Iliyan Radulov | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.9 | 12.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 80.6% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iliyan Radulov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Yanki Erel M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Hamish Stewart M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Robert Watzka M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ilya Ivashka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Agustin Siancha Borlenghi Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Manish Sureshkumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iliyan Radulov vs Ilya Ivashka?
Our model gives 63% to Ilya Ivashka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.