Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 13/07, 18:30
Prediction: Aziz Ouakaa vs Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Prediction summary
Winner
Aziz Ouakaa
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aziz Ouakaa
8-2 (W-L)
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aziz Ouakaa 1556 · Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios 1441
| Aziz Ouakaa | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aziz Ouakaa (rating 1556 vs 1441).
- Aziz Ouakaa is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aziz Ouakaa | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.4 | 7.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 47.7% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Carlos Ferre Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/07 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Mae Malige Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Leonel Cesar Castro Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/05 | Tadeo Meneo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/05 | Juan Estevez M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aziz Ouakaa vs Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios?
Our model gives 74% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.