Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 13/07, 11:00
Prediction: Zuzanna Kolonus vs Caterina Odorizzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Zuzanna Kolonus
Caterina Odorizzi
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Zuzanna Kolonus
8-2 (W-L)
Caterina Odorizzi
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zuzanna Kolonus
1–0
Caterina Odorizzi
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zuzanna Kolonus 1547 · Caterina Odorizzi 1471
| Zuzanna Kolonus | Caterina Odorizzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zuzanna Kolonus (rating 1547 vs 1471).
- Zuzanna Kolonus is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Zuzanna Kolonus 1–0 Caterina Odorizzi (1).
- Note: Zuzanna Kolonus makes many double faults (8.9/match).
Statistics
| Zuzanna Kolonus | Caterina Odorizzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-8.8 | 6.3-10 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 8.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 50.8% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Zuzanna Kolonus 1 – 0 Caterina Odorizzi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zuzanna Kolonus 1–0 Caterina Odorizzi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/22 ITF W15 Heraklion | 2-1 | 15-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zuzanna Kolonus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Clarissa Gai W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/06 | Anastasiia Kostiushkina W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Aishwarya Jadhav W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/05 | Shruti Ahlawat W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 02/05 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/05 | Elina Nepliy W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 30/04 | Akanksha Dileep Nitture W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/04 | Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Caterina Odorizzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Zainab Williams W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Elizabeth Jurna W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Raquel Caballero Chica W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Berta Bonardi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Anna Snigireva W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Doga Turkmen W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Sofia Martianova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zuzanna Kolonus vs Caterina Odorizzi?
Our model gives 68% to Zuzanna Kolonus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.