Tennis · W75 Granby · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Yuki Naito
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Yuki Naito
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
3-7 (W-L)
Yuki Naito
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Saito
1–0
Yuki Naito
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1486 · Yuki Naito 1528
| Sara Saito | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Naito (rating 1486 vs 1528).
- Head-to-head: Sara Saito 1–0 Yuki Naito (1).
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (7.5/match).
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.9 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Sara Saito 1 – 0 Yuki Naito (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Saito 1–0 Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/24 ITF W75 Burnie | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Erika Sema W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Varvara Panshina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Hayu Kinoshita W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Katie Swan W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Ayano Shimizu W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Yuki Naito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Eri Shimizu W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Yuki Naito?
Our model gives 53% to Yuki Naito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.