Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 13/07, 11:00

Prediction: Eliz Maloney vs Ciara Moore

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Eliz Maloney Ciara Moore
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eliz Maloney 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Ciara Moore 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eliz Maloney 1538 · Ciara Moore 1494
Eliz MaloneyCiara Moore
Our model56%44%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliz Maloney (rating 1538 vs 1494).
  • Note: Eliz Maloney makes many double faults (4.7/match).
  • Note: Ciara Moore makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Eliz MaloneyCiara Moore
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81-1.2
Games (G-P)12.5-9.68.3-8.7
Aces1.81.2
Double faults4.74.1
1st serve %62.7%64.3%
Break %49.6%57.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eliz Maloney

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Sophie Bekker
W50 Nottingham
2-0 13-8 W
07/07 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-15 L
05/07 Emily Sartz-Lunde
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/07 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Esther Adeshina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Chahd Tourkhani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Hania Abouelsaad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
08/05 Emily Appleton
W35 Nottingham
1-2 17-19 L
07/05 Vaishnavi Adkar
W35 Nottingham
2-1 17-14 W
06/05 Mia Wainwright
W35 Nottingham
2-0 12-2 W

Ciara Moore

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Anna Petkovic
ITF W75 Glasgow · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/10 Madison Frahn
ITF W75 Glasgow · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
20/10 Addison Yang Comiskey
ITF W100 Tyler · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/10 Sabine Rutlauka
W35 Birmingham
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Georgiana Mititelu
ITF W35 Reims · Hard
2-1 10-12 W
29/09 Christina Bednarczyk
ITF W35 Reims · Hard
2-1 10-7 W
02/09 Julie Belgraver
ITF W50 Leiria
0-2 9-12 L
01/09 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
ITF W50 Leiria
2-0 13-5 W
31/08 Tianmi Mi
ITF W50 Leiria
1-0 6-5 W
11/08 Jaquelyn Ogunwale
ITF W35 Aldershot · Hard
1-2 9-9 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eliz Maloney vs Ciara Moore?

Our model gives 68% to Eliz Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.