Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 13/07, 11:00
Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Aleksandra Mateva
Prediction summary
Winner
Nagi Hanatani
Aleksandra Mateva
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani
5-5 (W-L)
Aleksandra Mateva
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1484 · Aleksandra Mateva 1444
| Nagi Hanatani | Aleksandra Mateva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagi Hanatani (rating 1484 vs 1444).
- Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Aleksandra Mateva makes many double faults (8.5/match).
Statistics
| Nagi Hanatani | Aleksandra Mateva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-8.6 | 7.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 8.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 53.2% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagi Hanatani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Pui Yin Lung W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Yu-Ching Wang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Eri Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Yu-Ching Wang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Eri Shimizu W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Momoko Kobori W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Minori Yamataka W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Aleksandra Mateva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gabriela M Vancea W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Yoana Radulova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Louanne Djafari W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 01/06 | Aleksandra Djokic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Julia Stamatova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Nala Kovacic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Leticia Romanova W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Annabelle Lammas W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/04 | Julita Saner W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Aleksandra Mateva?
Our model gives 74% to Nagi Hanatani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.