Prediction: Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Badosa
Anhelina Kalinina
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Badosa
7-3 (W-L)
Anhelina Kalinina
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paula Badosa
0–1
Anhelina Kalinina
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Badosa 1580 · Anhelina Kalinina 1546
| Paula Badosa | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Paula Badosa 0–1 Anhelina Kalinina (1).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Anhelina Kalinina makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Paula Badosa | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.2 | 11.9-10 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.2
Over 20.5: 58% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 42% · 1.90
H2H · Paula Badosa 0 – 1 Anhelina Kalinina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paula Badosa 0–1 Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/17 ITF Women Prague Qual | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Emiliana Arango WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Coco Gauff WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Panna Udvardy WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Anna Bondar WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Simona Waltert WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Badosa vs Anhelina Kalinina?
Our model gives 57% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.