Prediction: Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltert
Prediction summary
Winner
Katarzyna Kawa
Simona Waltert
Estimated games
20.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katarzyna Kawa
6-4 (W-L)
Simona Waltert
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katarzyna Kawa
2–2
Simona Waltert
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katarzyna Kawa 1529 · Simona Waltert 1534
| Katarzyna Kawa | Simona Waltert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Katarzyna Kawa | Simona Waltert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.7 | 10.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 50% · 2.00
Under 20.5: 50% · 1.72
H2H · Katarzyna Kawa 2 – 2 Simona Waltert (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarzyna Kawa 2–2 Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/26 WTA Bastad | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/04/26 WTA Oeiras | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/02/20 ITF W25 Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/10/19 ITF W60 Szekesfehervar | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katarzyna Kawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Susan Bandecchi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Lisa Pigato WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Maya Joint WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Katerina Siniakova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltert?
Our model gives 60% to Simona Waltert, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.