Prediction: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaitlin Quevedo
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kaitlin Quevedo
5-5 (W-L)
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaitlin Quevedo 1524 · Elena-Gabriela Ruse 1550
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elena-Gabriela Ruse makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Kaitlin Quevedo | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.6 | 10.9-9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 40% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaitlin Quevedo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Tiana Tian Deng WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Sayaka Ishii Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Caty McNally Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Karolina Muchova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaitlin Quevedo vs Elena-Gabriela Ruse?
Our model gives 62% to Elena-Gabriela Ruse, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.