Prediction: Alina Charaeva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Charaeva
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Charaeva
5-5 (W-L)
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alina Charaeva
0–1
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Charaeva 1559 · Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1485
| Alina Charaeva | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Charaeva (rating 1559 vs 1485).
- Alina Charaeva dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 57.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alina Charaeva 0–1 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (1).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Alina Charaeva | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.7 | 9.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1
Over 20.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 43% · 1.83
H2H · Alina Charaeva 0 – 1 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alina Charaeva 0–1 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/20 ITF W15 Melilla | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Manon Leonard WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/06 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marie Weckerle Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Jessica Pieri WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Elena Pridankina French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Taylor Townsend WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Charaeva vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva?
Our model gives 62% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.