Tennis · W75 Granby · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Alexandra Vagramov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Alexandra Vagramov
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandra Vagramov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1464 · Alexandra Vagramov 1527
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Alexandra Vagramov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Vagramov (rating 1464 vs 1527).
- Note: Alexandra Vagramov makes many double faults (8.5/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Alexandra Vagramov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.8 | 10.1-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 8.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Nina Vargova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Klara Kajabova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/05 | Amandine Hesse W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/04 | Ayla Aksu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alexandra Vagramov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Alexis Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Thara Gowda W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Sophie Suh W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Armira Kockinis W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Ingrid C Millan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Alexandra Vagramov?
Our model gives 57% to Alexandra Vagramov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.