Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 13/07, 03:30
Prediction: Penn Charusorn vs Jonathan Irwanto
Prediction summary
Winner
Penn Charusorn
Jonathan Irwanto
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Penn Charusorn
6-4 (W-L)
Jonathan Irwanto
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Penn Charusorn 1463 · Jonathan Irwanto 1420
| Penn Charusorn | Jonathan Irwanto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Penn Charusorn (rating 1463 vs 1420).
- Note: Penn Charusorn makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Penn Charusorn | Jonathan Irwanto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-8.6 | 9-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 41% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penn Charusorn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Tanakorn Srirat M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Bill Chan ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Elias Julian Werner ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Natthayut Nithithananont ITF M15 Hua Hin Qual |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Louis Larue ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Elias Julian Werner ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 19/10 | Poonyachad Sunthonpagasit ITF M15 Hua Hin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/09 | Suk Hyun Choo M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Jesse Delaney M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 01/09 | Suk Ann M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
Jonathan Irwanto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Masaki Tonaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Hardy Owen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Connor Church UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Max K Fardanesh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Patricio Alvarado UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/12 | Matija Pecotic UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penn Charusorn vs Jonathan Irwanto?
Our model gives 58% to Jonathan Irwanto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.