Prediction: Maria Kozyreva vs Alevtina Ibragimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Kozyreva
Alevtina Ibragimova
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Kozyreva
2-8 (W-L)
Alevtina Ibragimova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Kozyreva 1382 · Alevtina Ibragimova 1551
| Maria Kozyreva | Alevtina Ibragimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1382 vs 1551).
- Alevtina Ibragimova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Kozyreva makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Alevtina Ibragimova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria Kozyreva | Alevtina Ibragimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-12.7 | 11-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.8% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.5
Over 18.5: 67% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 33% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Kozyreva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Clervie Ngounoue WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Nika Radisic WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Julie Belgraver WTA Rouen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Vivian Wolff WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Elizabeth Mandlik ITF W100 Irapuato · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/10 | Louisa Chirico ITF W100 Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Emerson Jones ITF W100 Macon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Ava Markham ITF W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Alexandra Osborne ITF W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Emina Bektas ITF W50 Rancho Sante Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Amandine Hesse W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Margaux Rouvroy W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Nice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Berta Bonardi W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Kozyreva vs Alevtina Ibragimova?
Our model gives 81% to Alevtina Ibragimova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.