Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: S D Prajwal Dev vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
S D Prajwal Dev
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
S D Prajwal Dev
3-7 (W-L)
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · S D Prajwal Dev 1488 · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1492
| S D Prajwal Dev | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| S D Prajwal Dev | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
S D Prajwal Dev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Marcelo Zormann Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Uta Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Gabriel Gomez Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 05/05 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Matthew Summers M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Robin Catry M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alejandro Arcila M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Ofek Shimanov Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in S D Prajwal Dev vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez?
Our model gives 61% to Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.