Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 12/07, 22:00
Prediction: Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Iliyan Radulov
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Iliyan Radulov
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sergio Callejon Hernando
4-6 (W-L)
Iliyan Radulov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergio Callejon Hernando 1522 · Iliyan Radulov 1469
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergio Callejon Hernando (rating 1522 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.9 | 9.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 61% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Branger M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Joan Torres Espinosa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Carles Rojas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Iliyan Radulov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yanki Erel M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Hamish Stewart M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mariano Kestelboim Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Robert Watzka M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Iliyan Radulov?
Our model gives 55% to Sergio Callejon Hernando, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.