Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 12/07, 18:30

Prediction: Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios vs Mae Malige

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Mae Malige
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLLL
Mae Malige 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios 1428 · Mae Malige 1502
Samuel Alejandro Linde PalaciosMae Malige
Our model40%60%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mae Malige (rating 1428 vs 1502).

Statistics

Samuel Alejandro Linde PalaciosMae Malige
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 30% (10) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.2-1.1
Games (G-P)7.2-11.110.1-9.4
Aces0.31.4
Double faults2.13.9
1st serve %48.6%65.5%
Break %49%42.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
01/07 Segundo Goity Zapico
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Juan Estevez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
07/06 Benjamin Chelia
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
03/06 Juan Manuel La Serna
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
11/05 Leonel Cesar Castro
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-1 12-8 W
10/05 Tadeo Meneo
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
08/05 Juan Estevez
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 1-11 L
07/05 Agustin Libre
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Mae Malige

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Oliver Crawford
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 3-12 L
07/07 Matias Reyniak
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 12-2 W
23/06 Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Porto
0-2 8-13 L
07/06 Matteo Martineau
Challenger Lyon · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
05/06 Luca Potenza
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
03/06 Giacomo Crisostomo
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
02/06 Alessandro Mondazzi
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
28/05 Arthur Nagel
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
27/05 Daniel Antonio Nunez
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/05 Pierre Delage
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios vs Mae Malige?

Our model gives 75% to Mae Malige, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.