Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Takuya Kumasaka vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Prediction summary
Winner
Takuya Kumasaka
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Takuya Kumasaka
5-5 (W-L)
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takuya Kumasaka 1474 · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1475
| Takuya Kumasaka | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Takuya Kumasaka | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-13.1 | 10.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Robin Bertrand M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Alvaro Jimenez M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 14/05 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/05 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 21/05 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Thomas Drayton M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Florian Broska M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/04 | Louis Dussin M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takuya Kumasaka vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez?
Our model gives 58% to Takuya Kumasaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.