Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 12/07, 18:30
Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel Heredia
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Heredia
7-3 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel Heredia 1527 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1553
| Samuel Heredia | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Samuel Heredia makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.9 | 11.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Borba Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 29/05 | Loan Lestir M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 61% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.