Prediction: Claire Liu vs Maria Sara Popa
Prediction summary
Winner
Claire Liu
Maria Sara Popa
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Claire Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Sara Popa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Claire Liu 1527 · Maria Sara Popa 1522
| Claire Liu | Maria Sara Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Sara Popa makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Claire Liu | Maria Sara Popa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.4 | 11.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2
Over 19.5: 64% · 2.00
Under 19.5: 36% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Despina Papamichail Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Sakkari French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Lulu Sun French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Maria Sara Popa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Yara Bartashevich WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Britt Du Pree W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Lian Tran W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Clara Burel W35 Nice |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Claire Liu vs Maria Sara Popa?
Our model gives 68% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.