Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 12/07, 21:30
Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Prediction summary
Winner
Arda Azkara
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Azkara
4-6 (W-L)
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1494 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1540
| Arda Azkara | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1494 vs 1540).
- Note: Arda Azkara makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Arda Azkara | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 12.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 23.8% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 21/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Karan Singh Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?
Our model gives 55% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.