Prediction: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
Prediction summary
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
Estimated games
20.5Bet365 line 16.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leyre Romero Gormaz
6-4 (W-L)
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1568 · Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni 1497
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyre Romero Gormaz (rating 1568 vs 1497).
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.1 | 9.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5 · Bet365 line 16.5 · +4
Over 16.5: 76% · 1.83
Under 16.5: 24% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Xiaodi You WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Ilinca Sagmar W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Irina Fetecau W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Teodora Miron W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Sophie Greiner W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Aurora Nosei W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Valeriia Artemeva W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni?
Our model gives 79% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.