Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Ilinca D Amariei
Prediction summary
Winner
Caroline Werner
Ilinca D Amariei
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner
7-3 (W-L)
Ilinca D Amariei
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1518 · Ilinca D Amariei 1456
| Caroline Werner | Ilinca D Amariei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caroline Werner (rating 1518 vs 1456).
- Caroline Werner is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Ilinca D Amariei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.5 | 8.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.5
Over 19.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 40% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Alice Rame Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Arina Bulatova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ilinca D Amariei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Melis Rasim W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/12 | Rikke De Koning W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 12/12 | Aran Teixido Garcia W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/12 | Anna Snigireva W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/12 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/11 | Julie Struplova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Ilinca D Amariei?
Our model gives 70% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.