Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 12/07, 15:30

Prediction: Leticia Romanova vs Lois Newberry

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Leticia Romanova Lois Newberry
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leticia Romanova 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLW
Lois Newberry 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leticia Romanova 1530 · Lois Newberry 1472
Leticia RomanovaLois Newberry
Our model58%42%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leticia Romanova (rating 1530 vs 1472).

Statistics

Leticia RomanovaLois Newberry
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.9-1.2
Games (G-P)10.9-89.3-9.4
Aces1.81.8
Double faults2.63.6
1st serve %63.4%62.1%
Break %61%43%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leticia Romanova

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/06 Emina Honic
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
1-2 10-9 L
16/05 Freya Christie
UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
15/05 Alice Zelley
UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 Mille Haagensen
UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
12/05 Michelle Dzjachangirova
UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/05 Sophie Ehrenbergerova
UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/05 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Nottingham
0-2 7-12 L
04/05 Annabelle Lammas
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-1 W
04/05 Aleksandra Mateva
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-5 W
20/04 Ophelia Korpanec Davies
W50 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L

Lois Newberry

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Anja Wildgruber
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/06 Lucie Pawlak
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
18/06 Natalia Sousa Salazar
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Marie Hubricht
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Natalia Sousa Salazar
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-13 L
19/05 Viola Bedini
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
04/05 Sabastiani Leon
W35 Nottingham Qual
0-2 8-13 L
04/05 Chloe Cleaver
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-4 W
27/04 Lauryn John-Baptiste
W35 Nottingham
0-2 8-13 L
26/04 Daisy Wootton
W35 Nottingham
2-0 11-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leticia Romanova vs Lois Newberry?

Our model gives 52% to Lois Newberry, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.