Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 12/07, 14:00
Prediction: Lily Hutchings vs Beatris Spasova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lily Hutchings
Beatris Spasova
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lily Hutchings
4-6 (W-L)
Beatris Spasova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lily Hutchings 1449 · Beatris Spasova 1490
| Lily Hutchings | Beatris Spasova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beatris Spasova (rating 1449 vs 1490).
- Note: Beatris Spasova makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Lily Hutchings | Beatris Spasova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.8 | 8.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lily Hutchings
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | Solymar Colling W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Margaret Sohns W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Lara Savic W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/04 | Paula Cembranos W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 02/02 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/02 | Marie Mettraux W35 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/01 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Jana Otzipka ITF W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Beatris Spasova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Galena Krastenova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Helena Muzinic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/05 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Nika Bumbak W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/04 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Veronika Udina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/04 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 09/03 | Fanny Norin W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Shira Buhadana W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lily Hutchings vs Beatris Spasova?
Our model gives 59% to Lily Hutchings, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.