Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 12/07, 12:30

Prediction: Zainab Williams vs Caterina Odorizzi

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Zainab Williams Caterina Odorizzi
Estimated games
18.1
Recent form · 10 last
Zainab Williams 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLWL
Caterina Odorizzi 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zainab Williams 1403 · Caterina Odorizzi 1450
Zainab WilliamsCaterina Odorizzi
Our model43%57%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caterina Odorizzi (rating 1403 vs 1450).

Statistics

Zainab WilliamsCaterina Odorizzi
Win %10%20%
Win % · Hard 0% (5) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.2-1.80.5-1.6
Games (G-P)5.3-11.66.2-10.5
Aces1.50.6
Double faults2.33.1
1st serve %50.3%51.2%
Break %37.7%46.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 18.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zainab Williams

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/05 Eliz Maloney
W35 Nottingham Qual
0-2 2-12 L
04/05 Summer Yardley
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-1 11-9 W
26/04 Summer Yardley
W35 Nottingham
0-2 5-11 L
07/11 Karla Popovic
UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/11 Noelani Teso
UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/11 Anastasiya Kuparev
UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/11 Iulia Andreea Ionescu
UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
26/10 Jana Otzipka
ITF W75 Glasgow · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/10 Karolina Vlckova
ITF W100 Wrexham
0-2 6-12 L
12/10 Mia Wainwright
W35 Birmingham
0-1 9-12 L

Caterina Odorizzi

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Hina Inoue
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Belle Thompson
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/06 Elizabeth Jurna
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/06 Raquel Caballero Chica
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
03/06 Berta Bonardi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
13/05 Anna Snigireva
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Doga Turkmen
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/04 Sofia Martianova
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/04 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
31/03 Andrea Lola Popovic
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zainab Williams vs Caterina Odorizzi?

Our model gives 69% to Caterina Odorizzi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.