Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 12/07, 11:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Mateva vs Gabriela M Vancea
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Mateva
Gabriela M Vancea
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Mateva
2-8 (W-L)
Gabriela M Vancea
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Mateva 1431 · Gabriela M Vancea 1467
| Aleksandra Mateva | Gabriela M Vancea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aleksandra Mateva makes many double faults (8.8/match).
- Note: Gabriela M Vancea makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Mateva | Gabriela M Vancea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-10.7 | 9.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 8.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 49.8% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Mateva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Yoana Radulova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Louanne Djafari W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 01/06 | Aleksandra Djokic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Julia Stamatova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Nala Kovacic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Leticia Romanova W35 Nottingham Qual |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Lilian Poling W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Annabelle Lammas W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/04 | Julita Saner W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Sara Daavettila W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Gabriela M Vancea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Laura Rabasco Segura W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/11 | Madalena Matias ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Valentina Steiner ITF W15 Lousada · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Deborah Chiesa ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Min Liu ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentina Vargas ITF W50 Baza |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 18/09 | Ariadna G P Canals ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Sarah Suljadzic ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 15/09 | Lucia L Domingo ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Mateva vs Gabriela M Vancea?
Our model gives 68% to Gabriela M Vancea, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.