Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 12/07, 12:00
Prediction: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Carol Young Suh Lee
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carol Young Suh Lee
7-3 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carol Young Suh Lee 1575 · Xinyu Gao 1457
| Carol Young Suh Lee | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carol Young Suh Lee (rating 1575 vs 1457).
- Xinyu Gao dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 44.2% break avg.
- Carol Young Suh Lee is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carol Young Suh Lee | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.7 | 9.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 10.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 61.6% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carol Young Suh Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Francisca Jorge W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Rina Saigo W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Harmony Tan French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Darja Vidmanova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Polona Hercog WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/04 | Varvara Panshina W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carol Young Suh Lee vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 57% to Carol Young Suh Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.