Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 10/07, 13:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Susan Bandecchi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Han Shi; the market gives 50% to Han Shi (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Han Shi sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Susan Bandecchi arrives on a 6-4 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1609 · Susan Bandecchi 1551
| Han Shi | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1609 vs 1551).
- Susan Bandecchi dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 56% break avg.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-7.3 | 12.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Susan Bandecchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kyoka Okamura W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Katarina Kuzmova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Daria Kasatkina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/05 | Cristina Bucsa French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Dominika Salkova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Susan Bandecchi?
Our model gives 54% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.