Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 11/07, 14:00
Prediction: Han Shi vs Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
7-3 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Han Shi
0–1
Xinyu Gao
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1619 · Xinyu Gao 1457
| Han Shi | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1619 vs 1457).
- Han Shi is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Han Shi 0–1 Xinyu Gao (1).
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-7.5 | 9.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 63.1% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Han Shi 0 – 1 Xinyu Gao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Han Shi 0–1 Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/24 ITF W50 Shenzhen | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Susan Bandecchi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Deniz Dilek W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Matilde Jorge W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Micic W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Madalena Matias W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Harmony Tan French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Darja Vidmanova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Polona Hercog WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/04 | Varvara Panshina W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Meiqi Guo W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 55% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.