Tennis · W15 Astana · 12/07, 07:00
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Ekaterina Maklakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Ekaterina Maklakova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
7-3 (W-L)
Ekaterina Maklakova
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1531 · Ekaterina Maklakova 1564
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Ekaterina Maklakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Maklakova makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Ekaterina Maklakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.8 | 10.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 7.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Korysheva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Anna Sedysheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Daria Koreshkova W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ekaterina Maklakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Shruti Ahlawat W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Sonal Patil W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Rina Saigo W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Xiaowei Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Ekaterina Maklakova?
Our model gives 66% to Ekaterina Maklakova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.