Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 14/07, 06:30
Prediction: Christopher Rodi vs Toshiki Karigyo
Prediction summary
Winner
Christopher Rodi
Toshiki Karigyo
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Christopher Rodi
5-5 (W-L)
Toshiki Karigyo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christopher Rodi 1488 · Toshiki Karigyo 1557
| Christopher Rodi | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toshiki Karigyo (rating 1488 vs 1557).
Statistics
| Christopher Rodi | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10 | 11.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christopher Rodi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Taiyo Kurata UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Kyle Chesman UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Rin Kojima UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Luke Mcmillan UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Toshiki Karigyo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Min Jae Kim UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Yua Taka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Zijiang Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christopher Rodi vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Our model gives 70% to Toshiki Karigyo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.