Tennis · W75 The Hague · 11/07, 13:30

Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Eva Vedder

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Alena Kovackova Eva Vedder
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alena Kovackova 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWL
Eva Vedder 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1542 · Eva Vedder 1607
Alena KovackovaEva Vedder
Our model41%59%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Vedder (rating 1542 vs 1607).

Statistics

Alena KovackovaEva Vedder
Win %80%90%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.9-0.3
Games (G-P)11.5-8.213-8
Aces0.91.6
Double faults3.22
1st serve %62.2%66.6%
Break %49.8%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alena Kovackova

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W75 The Hague
2-1 17-15 W
09/07 Mia Ristic
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Antonia Stoyanov
W75 The Hague
2-0 13-9 W
06/07 Josy Daems
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Mirjana Jovanovic
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-2 W
03/07 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Eva Marie Voracek
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Carolina Alves
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
29/06 Valeriya Strakhova
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 12-9 W
20/06 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Eva Vedder

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Gina Feistel
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-2 W
09/07 Weronika Falkowska
W75 The Hague
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Nina Vargova
W75 The Hague
2-1 19-15 W
28/06 Elena Micic
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
27/06 Amandine Hesse
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Han Shi
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/06 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
22/06 Zoziya Kardava
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
14/06 Julia Avdeeva
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
13/06 Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Eva Vedder?

Our model gives 56% to Eva Vedder, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.