Prediction: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Alena Kovackova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur; the market gives 50% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Alena Kovackova arrives on a 8-2 run.
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-5.7 | 11-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 48.1% |
H2H · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1 – 1 Alena Kovackova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1–1 Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 W35 Bolszewo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/04/26 W35 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Ivana Sebestova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Mia Ristic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Josy Daems W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Mirjana Jovanovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 52% to Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.