Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 11/07, 11:30
Prediction: Antoni Fabre vs Anton Arzhankin
Prediction summary
Winner
Antoni Fabre
Anton Arzhankin
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Antoni Fabre
4-6 (W-L)
Anton Arzhankin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antoni Fabre 1508 · Anton Arzhankin 1581
| Antoni Fabre | Anton Arzhankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Arzhankin (rating 1508 vs 1581).
- Anton Arzhankin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Antoni Fabre | Anton Arzhankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-9 | 11.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antoni Fabre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Michael Minasyan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Sander Jong M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Thomas Gimenez M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/04 | Victor Barrere M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/03 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Anton Arzhankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-9 | L |
| 09/06 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Sean Cuenin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Dusan Bazdar M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antoni Fabre vs Anton Arzhankin?
Our model gives 67% to Anton Arzhankin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.