Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 21/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sebastiano Cocola vs Alessandro Bellifemine
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastiano Cocola
Alessandro Bellifemine
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastiano Cocola
6-4 (W-L)
Alessandro Bellifemine
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastiano Cocola 1500 · Alessandro Bellifemine 1476
| Sebastiano Cocola | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sebastiano Cocola | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.8 | 9.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 64% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastiano Cocola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Romain Azais M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Niccolo Catini M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alessandro Bellifemine
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Stefan Kostic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Simone Massucco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/04 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/03 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastiano Cocola vs Alessandro Bellifemine?
Our model gives 58% to Sebastiano Cocola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.