Tennis · Challenger Iasi MD · 11/07, 09:00
Prediction: Grevelius/Heinonen vs Sabanov/Sabanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Grevelius/Heinonen
Sabanov/Sabanov
Estimated games
24.7
Recent form · 10 last
Grevelius/Heinonen
9-1 (W-L)
Sabanov/Sabanov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Grevelius/Heinonen
1–0
Sabanov/Sabanov
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grevelius/Heinonen 1603 · Sabanov/Sabanov 1506
| Grevelius/Heinonen | Sabanov/Sabanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grevelius/Heinonen (rating 1603 vs 1506).
- Grevelius/Heinonen is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Grevelius/Heinonen 1–0 Sabanov/Sabanov (1).
- Note: Grevelius/Heinonen makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Grevelius/Heinonen | Sabanov/Sabanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.1 | 15.1-13 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 69% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7
H2H · Grevelius/Heinonen 1 – 0 Sabanov/Sabanov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grevelius/Heinonen 1–0 Sabanov/Sabanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/25 Challenger Montemar MD | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grevelius/Heinonen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Banthia/Donski Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Ghetu/Haita Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Kadhe/Zormann Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 13/06 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/06 | De Jong/Hermans Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Forti/Ricca Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Kalender/Sabanov Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Dodig/Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn MD · Clay |
1-2 | 17-22 | L |
| 03/06 | Cukierman/Kestelboim Challenger Heilbronn MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Bertola/Forti Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Sabanov/Sabanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 08/07 | Kolar/Neuchrist Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/06 | Neuchrist/Vrbensky Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-21 | L |
| 26/06 | Kumstat/Vrba M25 Zagreb MD · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 25/06 | Barun/Biletic M25 Zagreb MD · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Rakonic/Voljavec M25 Zagreb MD · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Castelnuovo/Santillan Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 28/05 | Sakellaridis/Sakellaridis M25 Bol MD · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 29/04 | Martos Gornes/Walkow Challenger Ostrava MD · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grevelius/Heinonen vs Sabanov/Sabanov?
Our model gives 61% to Grevelius/Heinonen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.