Tennis · Challenger Iasi MD · 10/07, 12:00
Prediction: Banthia/Donski vs Grevelius/Heinonen
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Banthia/Donski; the market gives 50% to Banthia/Donski (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Banthia/Donski with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Grevelius/Heinonen has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banthia/Donski 1592 · Grevelius/Heinonen 1587
| Banthia/Donski | Grevelius/Heinonen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Grevelius/Heinonen makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Banthia/Donski | Grevelius/Heinonen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.2 | 14.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.9% | 79.1% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banthia/Donski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Albot/Cornea Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Pereira/Vega Hernandez Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/05 | Escobar/Kestelboim Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Jans/Whitehouse Challenger Ostrava MD · Clay |
1-2 | 23-23 | L |
| 29/04 | Hrazdil/Jermar Challenger Ostrava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Barrientos/Behar Challenger Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Vavassori/Vavassori Challenger Rome MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 21/04 | Martos Gornes/Prashanth Challenger Rome MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Grevelius/Heinonen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ghetu/Haita Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Kadhe/Zormann Challenger Iasi MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 13/06 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/06 | De Jong/Hermans Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Forti/Ricca Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Kalender/Sabanov Challenger Cattolica MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Dodig/Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn MD · Clay |
1-2 | 17-22 | L |
| 03/06 | Cukierman/Kestelboim Challenger Heilbronn MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Bertola/Forti Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Martos Gornes/Walkow Challenger Vicenza MD · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banthia/Donski vs Grevelius/Heinonen?
Our model gives 50% to Banthia/Donski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.