Tennis · Challenger Iasi MD · 09/07, 16:00

Prediction: Sabanov/Sabanov vs Drzewiecki/Matuszewski

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Drzewiecki/Matuszewski; the market gives 65% to Drzewiecki/Matuszewski (odds 1.44).

Recent form leaves Sabanov/Sabanov with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Drzewiecki/Matuszewski has piled up 9-1 in the same span.

64%2
36% 64%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sabanov/Sabanov 1505 · Drzewiecki/Matuszewski 1602
Sabanov/SabanovDrzewiecki/Matuszewski
Our model36%64%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drzewiecki/Matuszewski (rating 1505 vs 1602).
  • Drzewiecki/Matuszewski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Sabanov/Sabanov 0–2 Drzewiecki/Matuszewski (2).

Statistics

Sabanov/SabanovDrzewiecki/Matuszewski
Win %50%90%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 90% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.8-0.7
Games (G-P)13.4-11.516.2-12.9
Aces1.12.7
Double faults2.52.1
1st serve %68.1%73.7%
Break %45.8%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.9

H2H · Sabanov/Sabanov 02 Drzewiecki/Matuszewski (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabanov/Sabanov 02 Drzewiecki/Matuszewski

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/11/24
Challenger Montemar MD
1-221-22L
25/11/21
Challenger Bari MD
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sabanov/Sabanov

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kolar/Neuchrist
Challenger Iasi MD · Clay
2-1 19-18 W
30/06 Neuchrist/Vrbensky
Challenger Brasov MD · Clay
1-2 18-21 L
26/06 Kumstat/Vrba
M25 Zagreb MD · ~Clay
1-2 10-10 L
25/06 Barun/Biletic
M25 Zagreb MD · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Rakonic/Voljavec
M25 Zagreb MD · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
17/06 Castelnuovo/Santillan
Challenger Poznan MD · Clay
1-2 13-20 L
28/05 Sakellaridis/Sakellaridis
M25 Bol MD · ~Clay
1-2 9-8 L
29/04 Martos Gornes/Walkow
Challenger Ostrava MD · Clay
1-2 17-17 L
18/04 Ivanisevic/Simundza
M15 Dubrovnik MD · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/04 Pinter/Wagner
M15 Dubrovnik MD · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Drzewiecki/Matuszewski

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Kielan/Poljak
Challenger Iasi MD · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Kielan/Poljak
Challenger Iasi MD · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/06 Martos Gornes/Walkow
Challenger Poznan MD · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/06 Cervantes/Molchanov
Challenger Poznan MD · Clay
2-1 23-16 W
18/06 Castelnuovo/Santillan
Challenger Poznan MD · Clay
2-1 23-18 W
17/06 Liutarevich/Pieczonka
Challenger Poznan MD · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
13/06 Pokorny/Sachko
Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
12/06 Cervantes/Molchanov
Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
11/06 Barton/Duda
Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
10/06 Durasovic/Ursu
Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay
2-1 19-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sabanov/Sabanov vs Drzewiecki/Matuszewski?

Our model gives 64% to Drzewiecki/Matuszewski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.