Tennis · Challenger Iasi MD · 08/07, 12:00
Prediction: Banthia/Donski vs Cervantes/Molchanov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Cervantes/Molchanov; the market gives 59% to Banthia/Donski (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Banthia/Donski with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Cervantes/Molchanov has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banthia/Donski 1543 · Cervantes/Molchanov 1558
| Banthia/Donski | Cervantes/Molchanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Banthia/Donski | Cervantes/Molchanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.7 | 13.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banthia/Donski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Pereira/Vega Hernandez Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/05 | Escobar/Kestelboim Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Jans/Whitehouse Challenger Ostrava MD · Clay |
1-2 | 23-23 | L |
| 29/04 | Hrazdil/Jermar Challenger Ostrava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Barrientos/Behar Challenger Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Vavassori/Vavassori Challenger Rome MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 21/04 | Martos Gornes/Prashanth Challenger Rome MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/04 | Balaji/Oberleitner Challenger Oeiras MD · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/04 | Paulson/Vrbensky Challenger Madrid MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Cervantes/Molchanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Neuchrist/Vrbensky Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 03/07 | Grevelius/Poljak Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Duda/Latinovic Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Cretu/Taylor Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-23 | L |
| 18/06 | Karol/Serdarusic Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Duda/Vrbensky Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Kolar/Poljak Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banthia/Donski vs Cervantes/Molchanov?
Our model gives 54% to Banthia/Donski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.