Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 10/07, 17:00
Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Gustavo Heide
Prediction summary
Winner
Titouan Droguet
Gustavo Heide
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet
4-6 (W-L)
Gustavo Heide
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1520 · Gustavo Heide 1602
| Titouan Droguet | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1520 vs 1602).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Gustavo Heide | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 12-9.9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 35% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Jerome Kym Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Terence Atmane Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Gustavo Heide?
Our model gives 54% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.