Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Taro Daniel
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Taro Daniel; the market gives 41% to Taro Daniel (odds 2.25).
Recent form leaves Valentin Royer with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Taro Daniel has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Valentin Royer | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1522 vs 1624).
- Taro Daniel is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Valentin Royer 1–0 Taro Daniel (1).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.2 | 12.5-8.3 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 56.7% |
H2H · Valentin Royer 1 – 0 Taro Daniel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentin Royer 1–0 Taro Daniel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/25 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Novak Djokovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 24/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Tomas Lanik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 52% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.