Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lautaro Midon vs Zsombor Piros
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Zsombor Piros; the market gives 65% to Zsombor Piros (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Lautaro Midon with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Zsombor Piros has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lautaro Midon 1556 · Zsombor Piros 1589
| Lautaro Midon | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lautaro Midon | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.3 | 12.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ivan Ivanov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lautaro Midon vs Zsombor Piros?
Our model gives 60% to Zsombor Piros, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.