Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jerome Kym
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Maks Kasnikowski; the market gives 50% to Maks Kasnikowski (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Maks Kasnikowski is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jerome Kym 6-4 over theirs.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1543 · Jerome Kym 1532
| Maks Kasnikowski | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jerome Kym makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Jerome Kym | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.7 | 13.8-12.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 10 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Cina Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Jerome Kym
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 28-27 | L |
| 24/06 | August Holmgren Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Tom Gentzsch French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Jerome Kym?
Our model gives 51% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.