Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 10/07, 15:00
Prediction: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Julia Riera
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Julia Riera
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterine Gorgodze
7-3 (W-L)
Julia Riera
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterine Gorgodze
0–1
Julia Riera
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1532 · Julia Riera 1554
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ekaterine Gorgodze 0–1 Julia Riera (1).
Statistics
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.3 | 12.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Ekaterine Gorgodze 0 – 1 Julia Riera (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterine Gorgodze 0–1 Julia Riera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Valentina Steiner W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Mia Pohankova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vendula Valdmannova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Julia Riera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Emily Seibold W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Julia Riera?
Our model gives 58% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.