Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Martina Trevisan vs Julia Riera
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Julia Riera; the market gives 54% to Julia Riera (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Martina Trevisan sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Julia Riera arrives on a 4-6 run.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Trevisan 1487 · Julia Riera 1555
| Martina Trevisan | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1487 vs 1555).
- Note: Martina Trevisan makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Martina Trevisan | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 12.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Trevisan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Katerina Tsygourova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Ania Hertel W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Townsend WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Emily Seibold W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Trevisan vs Julia Riera?
Our model gives 56% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.