Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva; the market gives 56% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Lucia Bronzetti sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva arrives on a 8-2 run.
| Lucia Bronzetti | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (rating 1549 vs 1664).
- Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lucia Bronzetti 0–1 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (1).
Statistics
| Lucia Bronzetti | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.2 | 12.6-5.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 60.5% |
H2H · Lucia Bronzetti 0 – 1 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucia Bronzetti 0–1 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/24 WTA Bari | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Maddison Inglis Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Eva Bennemann W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ipek Oz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Chloe Paquet W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva?
Our model gives 60% to Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.