Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 09/07, 17:30
Prediction: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Valentina Steiner
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Valentina Steiner; the market gives 63% to Ekaterine Gorgodze (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Ekaterine Gorgodze with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Valentina Steiner has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1520 · Valentina Steiner 1547
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Valentina Steiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Valentina Steiner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.2 | 10.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mia Pohankova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vendula Valdmannova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Valentina Steiner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Matylda Burylo W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Eva Bennemann W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Tamila Gadamauri W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Marie Weckerle W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Valentina Steiner?
Our model gives 55% to Ekaterine Gorgodze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.